Vunderkind
Social Member
Nigeria is inching closer to the election date (March 28, for a memory refresh) and the propaganda machine has swung into overdrive on both the PDP and APC side.
Nigeria has gathered quite an impressive number of international spectators, with everyone curious as to the outcome of the elections of the country predicted to break apart in 2015.
Adedayo Ademuwagun, a political commentator has gone right ahead to suggest a list of states where APC's candidate, Gen. Muhammadu Buhari, may lose at the polls.
The states are as follows:
BENUE:
Reason: In the last election, the predominantly Christian Benue state delivered 66% of her votes to Jonathan. It is also a PDP state.
KOGI: President Jonathan beat Buhari here with 70% of the votes. It is also a PDP-run Christian state.
PLATEAU: Same reasons as above.
ABUJA:
Reason: This is President Jonathan's administrative seat of power. 2/3rds of the votes in 2011 went to him, easily. Given that the FG has a strong influence here, Buhari might want to let this state go.
TARABA:
Reason: Buhari only won half the votes Jonathan raked in the last time. PDP-run, Christian state.
ADAMAWA:
This is one of two states in the Northeast that Jonathan won over Buhari in 2011. It's predominantly Christian.
ABIA:
99% of the votes from this state went to Jonathan. Buhari's strength in the east is feeble at best.
EBONYI:
Buhari's performance here was, to say the least, dismal. He didn't get up to 1000 votes in this PDP state.
ANAMBRA:
This is an APGA state, which is almost synonymous to saying they're pro-Jonathan. Buhari winning in this igbo-centric state will be gasp-worthy.
ENUGU:
Jonathan almost had a 100% victory against Buhari here in 2011. The igbos here are PDP-led.
BAYELSA:
This is Jonathan's hometown. He won almost the entire votes from this state in 2011. While it is unlikely that he will win with the margin he did the last time, he is still very likely to win here.
DELTA:
This is a staunch PDP state. GEJ won 98% of the votes last time. Buhari hardly has a fanbase here.
EDO STATE:
Though APC-led, Governor Oshiomhole's popularity with his people has diminished vastly. This makes it diecy for a Buhari win, but we are not ruling out the possibility.
AKWA IBOM:
This state voted massively for PDP and GEJ in 2011. Buhari will have his work cut out here if he intends to win.
CROSS RIVERS:
PDP-led. Buhari lost here in 2011. Despite GEJ's run-ins, he is still likely to be the chosen one here.
EKITI:
One of two PDP-controlled Western states, governor Ayo Fayose is almost crazed in his subservience to Jonathan. He, in turn, has staunch pro-Fayose supporters. Fayose, an influential grassroot leader, is capable of mobilizing his people to boycott Buhari and bring in GEJ for the win.
ONDO:
Ondo is another PDP-controlled state, with Mimiko loyal to GEJ. Buhari winning here will be difficult, but not impossible.
Nigeria has gathered quite an impressive number of international spectators, with everyone curious as to the outcome of the elections of the country predicted to break apart in 2015.
Adedayo Ademuwagun, a political commentator has gone right ahead to suggest a list of states where APC's candidate, Gen. Muhammadu Buhari, may lose at the polls.
The states are as follows:
BENUE:
Reason: In the last election, the predominantly Christian Benue state delivered 66% of her votes to Jonathan. It is also a PDP state.
KOGI: President Jonathan beat Buhari here with 70% of the votes. It is also a PDP-run Christian state.
PLATEAU: Same reasons as above.
ABUJA:
Reason: This is President Jonathan's administrative seat of power. 2/3rds of the votes in 2011 went to him, easily. Given that the FG has a strong influence here, Buhari might want to let this state go.
TARABA:
Reason: Buhari only won half the votes Jonathan raked in the last time. PDP-run, Christian state.
ADAMAWA:
This is one of two states in the Northeast that Jonathan won over Buhari in 2011. It's predominantly Christian.
ABIA:
99% of the votes from this state went to Jonathan. Buhari's strength in the east is feeble at best.
EBONYI:
Buhari's performance here was, to say the least, dismal. He didn't get up to 1000 votes in this PDP state.
ANAMBRA:
This is an APGA state, which is almost synonymous to saying they're pro-Jonathan. Buhari winning in this igbo-centric state will be gasp-worthy.
ENUGU:
Jonathan almost had a 100% victory against Buhari here in 2011. The igbos here are PDP-led.
BAYELSA:
This is Jonathan's hometown. He won almost the entire votes from this state in 2011. While it is unlikely that he will win with the margin he did the last time, he is still very likely to win here.
DELTA:
This is a staunch PDP state. GEJ won 98% of the votes last time. Buhari hardly has a fanbase here.
EDO STATE:
Though APC-led, Governor Oshiomhole's popularity with his people has diminished vastly. This makes it diecy for a Buhari win, but we are not ruling out the possibility.
AKWA IBOM:
This state voted massively for PDP and GEJ in 2011. Buhari will have his work cut out here if he intends to win.
CROSS RIVERS:
PDP-led. Buhari lost here in 2011. Despite GEJ's run-ins, he is still likely to be the chosen one here.
EKITI:
One of two PDP-controlled Western states, governor Ayo Fayose is almost crazed in his subservience to Jonathan. He, in turn, has staunch pro-Fayose supporters. Fayose, an influential grassroot leader, is capable of mobilizing his people to boycott Buhari and bring in GEJ for the win.
ONDO:
Ondo is another PDP-controlled state, with Mimiko loyal to GEJ. Buhari winning here will be difficult, but not impossible.